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In 2007, China's raw salt production capacity and production continued to grow rapidly. Affected by the weather, the production of sea salt in the North is high, and the growth rate of wells and minerals is maintained at more than 10%. At the same time, the two alkali industries have invested in the construction of self-provided salt fields, which has accelerated the growth of industry capacity. According to the calculation of domestic production and import and export volume, domestic raw salt consumption in 2007 was approximately 61.2 million tons, an increase of 8.3% over the same period of last year. However, due to the rapid growth of production, the price of domestic salt continued to drop in 2007.
Domestic chlor-alkali and soda production capacity and production also maintained rapid growth in 2007. In 2008, the state increased its control over the construction of "two high and one resource" projects. Chlor-alkali and soda ash are both high energy-consuming products, while chloro-alkali supporting PVC is also a resource-consuming project. Except for the normal construction of the chlor-alkali and soda projects that have already started, some areas have delayed or cancelled the large-scale two-alkali, especially chlor-alkali projects originally planned for construction. . It is estimated that in 2008, the growth rate of production capacity and output of chlor-alkali and soda ash in China will slow down. In addition, in recent years, in some parts of China, such as Jiangsu, Shandong, and Inner Mongolia, most of the new large-scale chlor-alkali projects have self-supported salt or salt mines, which reduces the demand for raw salt products.
With the commissioning of several large-scale chlor-alkali plants and the expansion of some of the soda ash plants, the price of domestic crude salt will rebound in the first quarter of 2008. However, in the second half of the year, as the growth of crude salt production exceeds the growth rate of the downstream market, the price of domestic crude salt will begin to decline again, presenting an oversupply situation. However, due to the limited profit margin of crude salt production at present, the decline will not be too great, and the impact of macro-control by the two alkali industries will continue to show.
In the coming period, the supply and demand of the raw salt market will be excessive, and the unbalanced development of salt and alkali will become more apparent. Raw salt prices will continue to operate at a low level. Domestic raw salt companies should pay attention to the following points:
The first is to delay project construction. At present, many regions in China are still planning to build or expand the original salt and the installation of chloralkali or soda ash devices. As the country's macro-control efforts continue to strengthen, the two alkali industries are the first to be controlled. Therefore, relevant departments and enterprises should consciously cooperate with the national macroeconomic control policies, delay and cancel unreasonable and uncompetitive raw salt and its downstream supporting product projects, save resources from the source, and actively avoid market risks.
The second is to develop a series of varieties. At present, most of the domestic production of solid salt, and the use of liquid salt can effectively save energy, the use of pipeline transport can save logistics costs. Therefore, the domestic salt production enterprises should increase the proportion of liquid salt production. At the same time, they should also develop varieties of edible salt and light industry salt with various series and health functions to improve product quality and increase the added value of products.
The third is to extend the industrial chain. Raw salt is a product relying on resources and scale to obtain benefits. If you want to obtain high added value and sustainable development, you should speed up the process of saltification integration based on the original salt resources, vigorously develop salt chemical industry, and form raw salt and chlor-alkali. And the downstream fine chemical industry chain of chlorine, alkali, hydrogen deep processing, continue to extend the industrial chain. In particular, on the basis of crude salt and chlor-alkali, we will increase the development and production of downstream high-value-added intermediates and fine chemicals, and form an integrated development model for the upper, middle, and lower reaches.
Raw salt: capacity expansion to change the market
In recent years, the two alkali industries have seen an upsurge in capacity expansion and stimulated and stimulated the rapid expansion of domestic crude salt production capacity. In 2007, the shortage of domestic raw salt market was eased, and overcapacity appeared in some regions. The adjustment of the industry structure was effective. The new production capacity was dominated by saline-alkali joint projects, and the construction of original salt and chlor-alkali combined devices was significantly accelerated; the layout of the industry was developed. As a result of the changes, the proportion of mineral salt and lake salt has steadily increased. The production of crude salt in 2008 will continue the momentum of last year, and the oversupply situation may occur in the later period, and the domestic crude salt price will continue to decline.