After China’s passenger tires encountered US tire special insurance, some tire manufacturers changed the original planned semi-steel tire project funds to expand all-steel tire production capacity in order to offset the impact of tire special insurance on the company when the market for passenger tires shrank. . At present, China's all-steel load-carrying tire expansion projects and new projects continue to show signs of accelerated development. There are hidden concerns of “three passesâ€: that is, production capacity is obviously too demanding, development momentum is too ferocious, and product sales are too dependent on exports, especially the US market. The potential risks of China's all-steel heavy-duty tire must arouse the attention of relevant departments and industries. After entering the 21st century, China's all-steel load-carrying tires will grow at a double-digit rate each year, especially during the period of 2002 to 2006, which will continue to grow at a rate of more than 50% for five consecutive years. According to Tan Yukun, deputy secretary-general of the tire division of China Rubber Industry Association, from 2000 to 2008, the output of China's all-steel heavy-duty tires has grown from 3.36 million to 57 million, and the radialization rate has increased from 10% to 70%. The growth rate is There is nothing unique in the world. The number of all-steel load-bearing tires projects has increased from 14 to more than 40. According to the calculation of 600,000 investment of 500 million yuan, China's all-steel load-bearing tires project will invest 60 billion yuan. Now China's all-steel load bearing tires have 4 million production capacity, including Hangzhou Zhongce, Jiatong Tire, Shanghai Double Money, Shandong Triangle, and Shandong Linglong. This scale is one of the few in the world; it has one million. There are 18 Fengshen tyres with a production capacity of 4 million, and 17 or more with a capacity of 1 million. According to preliminary estimates, by the end of 2008, the production capacity of all-steel load bearing tires in China has reached 75 million, which is far higher than the market demand. According to Chen Zhihong, an expert from the Beijing Rubber Industry Research and Design Institute, by the year 2010, there will be 46.7 million domestic domestic demand for steel-loaded tyres and about 25 million exports. The total sum of the two items will be 71.7 million, and the radialization rate will be 70% to 80%. According to the calculation, the total demand for all-steel heavy-duty tires is 50 million to 57 million. It can be seen that the production capacity of all-steel load-bearing tires has been significantly higher than the future market demand. In recent years, China's steel-loaded tires have relied heavily on exports. Of the 57 million all-steel load tyres in 2008, 17 million were exported, accounting for about 30% of the total, of which exports to the United States accounted for more than 50% of total exports, and the export ratio was higher than the proportion of passenger tires. Once the export market fluctuates, China’s all-steel production of heavy-duty tires will be at a loss. At the end of 2008, affected by the financial crisis, China's tire exports were blocked. The operating rate of tire companies generally fell to about 50%, and the inventory of all-steel tires was very serious. At the same time, all steel tires also have "special protection" or anti-dumping risks. Once the United States and other countries have "special protection" or anti-dumping on China's all-steel heavy-duty tires, its impact on China's tire industry will be even greater than that of passenger tires. China's tire industry must maintain a clear-headed mind to avoid similar situations. It is worth noting that at present, the development of China's all-steel heavy-duty tires has not slowed down due to the financial crisis and the recent tire "special protection", especially the recent upsurge of a new start-up and expansion. Shandong Hongsheng 1.2 million/year full-steel tire project was put into operation mid-year; Shaanxi extended full-steel tire project was also in the final trial production phase; Shanxi Shuangxi Tire had a total investment of 1.1 billion yuan to build a 1.2 million/year all-steel tire second phase project. All trial production is planned for April 2010; on September 18th, Haida Group started 2.1 million pieces/year of all-steel tire projects; on October 18, the China National Chemical Rubber Corporation's high-grade radial tire project was started, with an initial start-up of 1.2 million. Article/Annual All-steel Tire Project; By the end of October, the Xinjiang Tire Factory started the bidding for 600,000 pieces/year of all-steel tire equipment; Shanxi Desheng Tire plans to build a 1.2 million/year all-steel tire project, with a period of 300,000 articles/year. Full steel tire project has completed equipment procurement and is expected to reach production in April 2010. In addition, South China Tire, Chaoyang Langma, Guizhou Tire, and Shandong Linglong have plans to expand their all-steel tire production capacity recently, while Hangzhou Zhongce, Shanghai Double Money, Triangle Tire, Cooper Chengshan, and other veteran tire factories are also pursuing larger purchases. Equipment expansion. It is estimated from the analysis of the procurement vulcanizer that more than 3 million new production capacity will be added in the next six months. According to preliminary statistics, in 2009 China's total production capacity for all-steel load-bearing tires will exceed 5 million. China's total steel tire production capacity will reach 80 million by the end of the year. After the 2009 start-up projects have all reached capacity, China will add more than 10 million steel-loaded tires to its production capacity. At that time, China's total steel load-bearing tire production capacity will exceed 90 million. “What is 90 million? What is the concept? It is nearly 30 times the total steel tire production in 2000. It is almost twice the 2010 steel tire output in the 11th Five Year Plan and more than twice the domestic demand.†Some people in the industry worry that: "In the past 10 years, China's all-steel heavy-duty tires have exceeded conventional development, and production has greatly exceeded domestic demand. In recent years, more than 30% of all steel tires are exported, and once exports are blocked for some reason, China's steel load will be heavy. The child will suffer a catastrophic blow." According to industry insiders, China's all-steel load-bearing tires should learn lessons from the semi-steel “tire protection†case. At present, the focus of development of China's all-steel heavy-duty tires should be structural adjustment, rather than the pursuit of production, not to mention disorderly competition. On the one hand, it is necessary to stabilize the quality of tires on an existing basis. According to different conditions of use, the formation of different series of products, refine the market. To improve the design to improve the tire retreading rate and renovation times, give full play to the superiority of the comprehensive mileage of radial tires, thereby improving its economic efficiency, but also reflects the strategic requirements of circular economy. At the same time, the production costs and the weight of the tires are further reduced. On the other hand, we must form a complete and advanced supporting technology for the metric tubeless tire series, further develop the brand strategy, gradually increase the added value of all-steel load-carrying tires into the international market, and actively communicate with the automotive sector to accelerate the development of domestic tubeless tires. Development, in the domestic and foreign markets, quickly raise the visibility of China's all-steel load-bearing tires.
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The risk of "three passes" for all steel trucks cannot be ignored