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Low carbon has come into our lives. Are we ready?
Although the globally-remarked Copenhagen Climate Change Conference did not reach a consensus as people wished, it must not change the firm pace of the arrival of a low-carbon economy. The low-carbon economy known as the "fourth industrial revolution" is a huge challenge for both global economic development and the future of the financial industry. It is also a historic opportunity.
In the face of such historical opportunities, international financial institutions are already working hard. Can China's financial institutions seize opportunities and play an important role in them? Experts pointed out that whether in the area of ​​improving energy efficiency or in the field of renewable energy development, financial support is indispensable. The financial sector needs can also play a key role in the development of a low-carbon economy. On the other hand, low-carbon economy Development has also provided the financial industry with new development opportunities and tremendous opportunities.
Historical Opportunities “The current global economic development has entered a relatively slow period. The economic growth momentum brought by the information technology revolution has basically ended. The global economy needs new technologies to emerge, leading to a new round of rapid economic growth. The carbon economy is a worthy-looking direction,†Zeng Gang, director of the Bank’s Research Office at the Institute of Finance, said to the reporter.
After the world economy has undergone industrialization and informatization, it is moving toward low carbonization. Low-carbon economy is considered to be the competitiveness of future countries and enterprises. The International Energy Agency (IEA) believes that a new industrial revolution is taking place in the 21st century and is called the energy revolution and the environmental revolution.
The prospects for the development of a low-carbon economy are indeed worth the wait. Studies have shown that the income generated by low-carbon products and related service industries has exceeded the total income of the aerospace industry and the defense industry, and the low-carbon industry is becoming one of the new pillars of the global economy.
The great prospect of a low-carbon economy also means for the financial industry that historic opportunities have come. "Finance is the core of the modern economy. Finance depends on the development of the real economy to produce benefits. What kind of economic model should there be? What kind of finance? Through the relationship between the two, the financial industry can find new profit from the low-carbon economy. Space, said Wang Yong, a professor at the People's Bank of China Zhengzhou Training Institute, when interviewed by this reporter.
“In the history of human economy, the emergence of major technological innovations and the transformation of the economy are always supported by financial factors. The development of low-carbon technologies and the development of low-carbon economy are naturally no exception.†Zeng Gang said that from the past From a period of practice, many financial institutions have begun to engage in the development of low-carbon technologies. In addition, the development of emission rights markets has provided certain incentives for the development and application of low-carbon technologies, and has attracted a considerable number of companies and Financial institutions participate.
As the low-carbon economy has become more and more important to all countries in the world, we also know a hot word – carbon finance. It is generally believed that carbon finance refers to all financial activities related to carbon emissions trading, including direct investment and financing, carbon trading, and bank loans. Carbon finance, which has a short history, is considered to be an important financial innovation that has emerged in the international financial sector in recent years. With the global demand for carbon emission reduction and the rapid expansion of the carbon trading market, carbon finance has gradually become the key to seizing the commanding heights of the low-carbon economy. This will have extensive and far-reaching impact on the global economic and financial landscape after the crisis.
As early as 1997, the "Kyoto Protocol" signed by nearly 200 countries was considered to be the institutional framework and operational rules that gave birth to a low-carbon economy. After the protocol was officially put into effect in 2005, the global carbon trading market showed explosive growth. According to the World Bank, total global carbon trading volume reached US$126 billion in 2008, more than 10 times that in 2005. The New Energy Finance Company of the United Kingdom issued a report in June 2009, predicting that the global carbon trading market will reach 3.5 trillion US dollars in 2020, which is expected to surpass the oil market and become the world's largest market. It is also estimated that by 2020, the global banking industry may receive as much as US$15 billion in revenue from only a small portion of its business activities in carbon trading, infrastructure financing and consulting. During the holiday season, it is not only supermarkets, shopping malls, and auto markets that are hot, but the tourism market is also hot. Among them, skiing and hot spring products benefit from the “cold†holiday and are widely sought after. Ctrip.com's booking information shows that Sanya is in the tourist season, and the situation of hard to find a room is much earlier than last year. New Year holiday travel prices have risen by more than 30%. According to the monitoring of the Beijing Municipal Tourism Bureau, in the first two days of the New Year's Day holiday, the Bird Nest of the “transformed†ski resort received a total of nearly 40,000 tourists. In the statistics of hotel rental information, the average occupancy rate of hot spring hotels exceeds 60%, which is obviously higher than that of other types of hotels. In addition, warm-weather destinations such as Hong Kong, Xiamen and Guilin are also popular with tourists.
The fashion of consumption is more fashionable During the New Year's Day, reporters saw in shopping malls and supermarket cashiers that fewer and fewer consumers use cash for shopping. In particular, young people use credit cards to pay more. According to the reporter’s understanding, major banks such as Huaxia, Bank of Communications, Bank of China, and Industrial Bank have launched promotional strategies to encourage cardholders to spend on holidays, such as “double credit card credits†and “swipe card winsâ€. In addition to the fact that consumers are more secure with credit cards, more people are rushing to the credit card. The cardholder Mr. Liang told reporters: "I have a few bank cards in my hand. Which bank has a lot of gifts?
How much is the wave of credit card spending? Can be seen from the data. "Shiyi Evening News" news, this year's New Year's Day, Shiyan City, credit card spending amounted to 130 million yuan, refreshed last year's Golden Week credit card 88.78 million yuan consumption record. According to statistics from China UnionPay Shandong Branch, from January 1st to 2nd, Shandong Bank (excluding Qingdao) bank card transactions amounted to 1.585 million, of which, credit card spending was 1.238 million, amounting to 1.64 billion yuan, an increase of 60.6% year-on-year and 40.6%.
In the rural consumer market, with the implementation of a series of agricultural policies such as “Home Appliances Going to the Countryside†and “Automobiles and Motorcycles to the Countrysideâ€, loan consumption has gradually become fashionable. The Xinhua News Agency reported on January 3 that various types of consumer loans met the financial needs of some rural households who had aspirations for consumption and temporarily experienced financial difficulties. In 2009, Shandong Rural Credit Cooperatives issued a total of RMB 42.84 million in rural loans to support 25,040 households. The farmers purchased 26,379 units of "home appliances to the countryside"; 15,850 farmers' housing loans were granted, and the loan balance was 583.92 million yuan.
In fact, from 2009 onwards, the rapid growth of consumer credit, which mainly includes auto loans, credit card consumption, and mortgage loans, has effectively boosted consumption growth. One of the “10 major events in the Chinese banking industry in 2009†announced by the Bank of China (601988) Association of Industry and Commerce was the launch of a pilot program for consumer finance companies, and accelerated the development of consumer credit. According to Ba Shusong, deputy director of the Financial Research Institute of the Development Research Center of the State Council, starting a pilot of consumer finance companies is conducive to boosting the contribution of consumption to economic growth, not only an important step in financial innovation, but also to promote national industrial adjustment and economic growth adjustment. Important measures.
The New Year's consumption outlook is good. The 2010 New Year's Day consumption in the cold and snowy winds does not have the slightest "chill". The prosperous consumption during the New Year's Day shows on the one hand that the general public has a high willingness to consume and is full of confidence in the future economy; on the other hand, it also reflects that the potential for development in the consumer sector in China is still huge.
At the beginning of December 2009, the Central Economic Work Conference decided to expand consumer spending as the focus of economic work in 2010. Therefore, from the perspective of macroeconomic policies, there are many favorable conditions for expanding consumption. For example, the macro-income distribution policy is gradually being adjusted, the government’s investment in the people’s livelihood area is increasing, and the people’s income has increased; the level of urbanization is continuously improving and more and more rural people are turning into urban populations; medical insurance, unemployment insurance, Social security systems such as pension insurance are being further improved.
Guodu Securities analysts said that in the future the contribution of consumption to GDP will increase year by year. He predicted that China has now entered a golden period of consumer upgrading, and that the trend of China's consumption upgrade will continue for about 20 years.
Wang Bin, deputy inspector of the Department of Market Operation and Regulation of the Ministry of Commerce, also stated that it is initially expected that the consumer market will steadily rebound in 2010. The total retail sales of social consumer goods will reach 14.6 trillion yuan this year, an increase of about 16% year-on-year. This indicates that the contribution of consumption to economic growth this year will further increase.
Low-carbon economy: historic opportunities in the financial industry
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